“Brown launches his first ad and stumps the state. Whitman has dominated the airwaves; now Brown is showing up. Rasmussen aside, what’s your sense of the horse race? Who’s up, who’s down – and why?”

I have seen the internal polls….it is tied up…. Brown is up because he isn’t down at this start of

“So what happens now? A special session to deal with the budget? A months-long hiatus until we get a new governor? Finger-pointing beyond belief?”

I’m starting to think the final Arnold Schwarzenegger budget happened last year. I’m also starting to think this may not be a bad thing.

I’m too tired to answer any questions

“Will Jerry’s $30 million ever make a difference? Will Meg’s megaspending overshadow everything else? Is everybody tired of Meg’s ads? Will labor shift into overdrive for Jerry?  Will the turnout be good?  Bottom line: Who’s going to win?”

This race is neck-and-neck. We’re past the halfway mark but not yet in the home stretch. Meg

“The scandals in the city of Bell are spreading into the governor’s race: As attorney general, Brown is investigating and Whitman is sniping at him. How does this play out?”

The more Brown investigates and calls attention to the salary and pensions of public employees, the more he brings the backlash to his own door. 

“Yet another budget deadlock. How does this play into the race for governor? Which candidate is helped – or hurt – by the failures in the Capitol?”

Jerry Brown is the insider. He needs to own Sacramento if Whitman is to have a chance.

Nobody runs against the Establishment better than Jerry Brown. Mega Millions

“Whitman and Brown are reaching out to Latinos, who traditionally do not vote in high proportions. Is this the year that Latinos flock to the polls and decide the election? Or does California continue its trajectory of aging and white voters?”

No, Latino voters won’t flock to the polls, but they will constitute between 14-18

“Does Gov. Schwarzenegger have a role to play in this
year’s race for governor? Does he endorse a candidate and
go on the campaign trail? Or, given his approval rating,
does he stay out entirely?”

“Meg Whitman vs. the nurses: Who wins here? Does she successfully drive a wedge between the nurses and their leadership, or does spanking nurses backfire with voters?”

Ask the governor.

As John Burton once said, everybody likes nurses. This is going to backfire. Whitman’s wounds will need to be bandaged, and the nurses won’t be

“The latest Field Poll shows Brown and Whitman in a dead heat. An early survey, but there are danger signals for Brown — eroding Latino support, soft rank-and-file union support. Your thoughts?”

He’s toast. Drive to Reno today and take the spread on Meg Witless.

Let’s see now, we’re still in early July………let’s wait until

“Meg Whitman’s new strategy is to go after Jerry Brown’s core union support, and try to drive a wedge between the rank-and-file and the leaders. Will this work?”

No way.  These efforts just provide more evidence that Meg Whitman has money to burn and, fortunately, that will play right into the messaging needed to beat her:  That she is a billionaire who  is completely out of touch with everyday working people.  

No, it won’t work.

Only a freezing July day in Sacramento.

I heard that she was going to put every