Special Episode with Paul Mitchell: How Will the Overturn of Roe Affect the 2022 Elections?

Last night Politico published a bombshell report: a leaked draft of a Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade, the landmark 1973 ruling that established federal abortion rights. The 98 page draft of Justice Samuel Alito’s opinion for the majority castigates the original decision as “egregiously wrong from the start” and also revokes Planned Parenthood v. Casey. If the draft is accurate, and the Court does upend Roe – which most observers believe it will – that decision may have a profound impact on the 2022 election.

For this Special Episode we asked Paul Mitchell, one of California’s leading political data analysts, to weigh in on the likely effects of the decision. Paul is a regular contributor to Capitol Weekly, and is by no means a disinterested observer: he is married to Jodi Hicks, the President of Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California.


Episode Notes

30: What does this mean for California?

3:41 Would the proposed state Constitutional Amendment affect legislative/congressional races in California?

8:23 What impact will this have on national races?

9:36 Orange County vs. Central Valley

11:06 Abortion reversal is just one of many issues

11:40 Impact on the Senate?

14:58 What other decisions are at risk?

17:41 The leak

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