Poll: Rice, Harris lead a wide open field for Boxer’s seat
The full survey and its methodology are available here.
However, large proportions also say they are inclined to support a number of other potential candidates were they to enter the race. For example, more than one in three likely voters say they would be inclined to support each of fiveother Democratic possibilities. They include Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez (39%), California Secretary of State Alex Padilla (38%),Congresswoman Jackie Speier (36%), Congressman John Garamendi (36%), former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (35%), and former Congresswoman Jane Harman (35%). Ten others –six Republicans and four Democrats – tested in the poll also receive the backing of between 20%and 30% of likely voters statewide.
Early voter support is very much related to the party of the voter and that of the potential candidates. Large proportions of Democratic voters are inclined to support each of the eleven Democratic candidate possibilities, but most are disinclined to support the seven Republicans tested.
As might be expected, voters of both parties are much more inclined to back candidates of their own political party than those affiliated with the opposite party. The results show that likely Democratic voters are more likely to be inclined to support each of the eleven Democratic candidates tested, but are strongly disinclined to any of the seven Republican possibilities.
Early Democratic voter support is currently highest for Harris at 74%. But, majorities of Democratic likely voters are also inclined to back Sanchez (64%), Padilla (61%), Speier (58%), Villaraigosa (57%), Garamendi (54%) and Harman (52%), were they to become candidates.
Large majorities of Republicans are not inclined to back any of the eleven Democrats.
Preferences across other key voter subgroups
b. Preferences of Latino voters
c. Preferences of white non-Hispanic voters
The two potential candidates receiving the largest proportion of early vote support among white non-Hispanic voters are Rice (52%) and Harris (42%).
e. Preferences of Northern California voters
g. Preferences of male voters
Eds’ Note: The survey was completed January 26-February 16, 2015 among 972 likely voters in California. Interviews were administered by telephone using live interviewers in Engplish, Spanish, Cantonese, Korean, Mandarin and Vietnamese. The maximum sampling error was plus or minus 4.5 percent.
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