“How do you think voters will respond to the term-limits initiative in February? Does the fact that California’s presidential primary is going to be held on the same day make a difference?”
It just means that more people will come to the polls thoroughly confused.
I think it is too soon to tell. The larger turnout of a presidential election and perhaps a redistricting initiative and health-care initiative would make a difference.
Despite the smear tactics of opponents so far, this one is a winner. Kudos to the speaker and Gale Kaufman for the strategic thinking behind the way the initiative is written.
It all depends on where the governor comes down. He is the Big Fish in this electoral pond. If he opposes, voters will be pulled in two directions and be more likely to vote no.
I personally think it goes down, even without a major campaign against it. Once voters figure out it will extend the terms of the current incumbents–who are its main, self-serving proponents–by 6-8 years, they will rebel. My bet is it is opposed by nearly every major editorial page on these grounds.
With the presidential primary, you will get more voters than the June primary, which means more “occasional voters” who are Democrats voting. If a reapportionment deal is done, and it likely will be, the gov will support the package and the proposition will pass.
This early presidential primary is really nothing more than the opportunity for someone that was a labor organizer just five years ago to continue his assault on California businesses. He is not willing to go out and compete in the job market he has destroyed. So, a small percentage of California voters get to pile on in support of Senator Clinton and some Republican that will be a historical footnote.
If voters believe it’s an f-you to the politicians, it will pass no matter who is drawn to the polls.
It depends how well they understand it. So, if Arnold supports it, it passes. If he opposes it, it fails.
I’m a lot more interested in seeing the passage of the imitative that eliminates the winner-take-all provision for electoral votes and creates a more fair system of doing this by Congressional district.
It will pass by one the slimmest margins in CA initiatives history. Dems will be out in force and push it over the top.
California’s voters (what’s left of them) are sick and tired of the legislative pass the buck. The vote will go down to a major defeat.
The people from whom we sought opinions: Andrew Acosta, A.G. Block, Deborah Gonzalez, Don Wilcox, Dan Schnur, Sam Sorich, Jason Kinney, Matt Ross, Barry Brokaw, Mike Madrid, Kevin Spillane, Morgan Crinklaw, Ralph Simoni, Garry South, Richard Zeiger, Peter DeMarco, Ray Sotero, Adam Probolsky, Barbara O’Connor, Jim Evans,Rex Frazier, Jeff Fuller, Kassy Perry, Adam Mendelsohn, Ken Gibson, Bill Packer, Jack Pitney, Sandy Harrison, Steve Maviglio, Dale Debber, Nicole Mahrt, Will Shuck, Bob Hertzberg, Evan Goldberg, Roger Salazar, Mark Bogetich, Matt Rexroad, Tony Quinn.