“Does Tom Campbell have a better shot running for the U.S. Senate against Carly Fiorina or running for governor against Meg Whitman?”
Odds long that stolid, button-down, smarty pants male succeeds against either cash-laden IT-Chick candidate. Pity, too. Tom’s a good egg.
He has a better shot running for Lt. Gov., Controller or Insurance Commissioner. Campbell would add some depth to an otherwise pathetic Republican statewide slate.
In the Senate race, he would split the moderate vote with Fiorina and make a DeVore victory more likely. In the gubernatorial race, his big advantage lies in his knowledge and specificity. In the Senate race, he would have less of an edge on this point, since DeVore is also smart and specific.
The next question is whether he has a better chance against Jerry Brown or Barbara Boxer — since he couldn’t beat Brown, I’d rather see him run for the Senate.
No. His skills can be used in a practical way in Sacramento. Voters will recognize that.
He should hang in there and let the two billionaires smash each other to bits.
He has a better shot of running for President against Sarah Palin…having said that, the chance to have the fight that should of been in 1992 with Campbell vs. Boxer would be delicious. If Campbell woulda won that primary Boxer never would have gotten elected.
He could just pull a Gray Davis and sneak by the two self funders in the primary.
Either way, he’s in a three-way race against more conservative candidates. It’s a wash.
Doesn’t matter. Until Campbell has ‘real’ money or the GOP wakes up to the reality that moderates like him are their only hope, it’s a lost cause.
Tom doesn’t want to hear it, but he should be running for State Treasurer.
DeVore would pay his Senate filing fee, but alas, the best Rep candidate for either race in a General election is doomed to another failure. He’s just too reasonable to win his party’s nod in either contest.
He has an equal shot of losing in either race.
He is in a three-person race with little money either way. Then he faces a single, well funded Democrat.
Mr. Campbell could win the Senate seat, and as for Whitman, she will lose to Poizner.
Campbell is all over the place. He has been running around the state talking about the state budget, now he will potentially be talking about the nation’s economy. By the filing deadline he will be focused on his platform for the people of Visalia in his run for the Tulare County Board of Supervisors.
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