Podcast

A Look at California’s Competitive Congressional Districts, with Paul Mitchell

Illustration of Paul Mitchell by Chris Shary. Graphic, Capitol Weekly

CAPITOL WEEKLY PODCAST: Political data expert and regular Capitol Weekly contributor Paul Mitchell joins us for a look at the most competitive congressional districts in California. The race for control of Congress is tight, and these districts could decide which party holds the House in 2025. And he tells us which polls to watch (and which to ignore) and makes his prediction in the Kamala Harris- Donald Trump race. Plus – Who Had the Worst Week in California Politics

4:00 CA 22 – Salas v. Valadao

11:47 CA 3 – Kiley v. Morse

14:44 Brutal abortion ad

17:46 CA 27 – Whiteside v. Garcia

21:44 CA 47 – Min v. Baugh

26:59 CA 41 – Calvert v. Rollins

29:07 CA 9 – Gray v. Duarte

33:49 What are good polls to follow?

35:38 The prediction markets

38:29 Polls to avoid

41:31 Could hurricanes affect the presidential race?

42:50 On the spot: Presidential prediction

45:18 First gubernatorial debate of the 2026 campaign

50:01 #WWCA

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