Posts Tagged: probability

CA120: This was an election the pollsters got right

Directions to the local polling site in San Francisco. (Photo: Kevin McGovern, via Shutterstock)

by PAUL MITCHELL posted 12.02.2022

Much of the coverage of the recent midterm election has been about the surprise outcome – one in which the Republicans have taken a small majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, and Democrats retained control of the U.S. Senate.  However, this was the story that polling was telling us — if we were willing to listen.

Calpensions: In a few years CalPERS retirees are expected to outnumber active workers, a national trend among public pension funds that makes them more vulnerable to big employer rate increases. The growing number of retirees, partly due to aging baby boomers, is one reason a staff report last week argues that CalPERS has too much “risk.”