Experts Expound

“The latest Field Poll shows Brown and Whitman in a dead heat. An early survey, but there are danger signals for Brown — eroding Latino support, soft rank-and-file union support. Your thoughts?”

He’s toast. Drive to Reno today and take the spread on Meg Witless.

Let’s see now, we’re still in early July………let’s wait until the Nurses perform their forensic scalpel procedure on Whitman before jumping to conclusions.

It is too soon to draw conclusions from this data.  Whitman has been on the air non-stop.  People are tired of election stuff and the poll was taken right after the final primary onslaught of negative Whitman ads.  The old adage that we focus after Labor Day is true.  Particularly for the undecideds who did not vote in primary.  The independents will be key.  The Latino media is starting to ramp up and my guess is the Latino voters will be energized for Brown and so will the union voters, once they start to focus.

It’s a Catch-22 for Brown, who must walk the razor’s edge, trying not to show voters too little of himself, or, equally dangerous, too much. Whitman, on the other hand, may be finding her high-water mark early, only to stall or watch her support erode.

This is going to be a close race, and either Jerry or an I.E. Committee is going to have to spend some money early in this race, defining himself anew to the Dems and independents before Meg does the job for him. Still, he sits on a 2.3 million registered Democrat lead over registered Republicans.

She will not let up…going to be a battle.

I’m shocked. Shocked. Jerry Brown continues to run a campaign out of his basement supervised by his wife while the Whitman campaign is like a multi-national corporation upping its market share. Either Brown realizes its 2010 and not 1986 anymore or this one will be over fast.

Let’s see, Whitman’s spent $90 million, Brown’s spent nothing, and they’re tied. Advantage Brown.

“$80 million” is my primary thought. The money is going to have to flow for Brown to be competitive.  Assembly, Senate and down ticket races are going to starve on the Democrat side of the election.

He’s sunk. He has no clue how to run for governor in 2010 – and he won’t listen to those who know. And Whitman has barely gotten started on him.

t’s way too early to tell. But you just have to think the cagey old pro may pull this out – again. On the other hand, his thread-bare canoe may finally sink from decades and decades of over-paddling to the left and then the right.

It’s early, but these are signs of trouble. Any other dem would be down 10 PTs, except DiFi.

The best thing about these two running neck and neck is it provides the populace some place to string them up by. Did I mention Gavin and Abel?

Could be a repeat of 1966 which, ironically, involved Jerry’s dad…

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