Analysis

CA120: Harris gains only small post-convention bump

Photo by AP

In spite of some gains, if the expectation from the Democratic Convention was that it was going to swing any Trump voters toward the Harris campaign, or give her a dramatically widening lead in the race, this has not been met, at least according to the California data.

Analysis

CA120: Harris surges – and softens – in latest polls

(AP Photo)

As Vice President Kamala Harris takes the stage on Thursday as the official presidential nominee of the Democratic Party, she will face a short 74-day campaign, with California voters getting their ballots in just over 6 weeks.

The Capitol Weekly poll has continued to survey California voters as the campaigns have navigated the twists and

Analysis

CA120: New polls show young voters, Latinos key to Dem hopes in November

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Photo by AP.

The events of the past week have seemingly turned the Presidential race on its head in a frenetic month of nerve-wracking surprises. While the results of national and statewide polling are relatively small considering the major shifts in the campaign, we can use our large sample Capitol Weekly poll, with over 5,000 completed surveys, to look at underlying trends that speak to the factors that will be in play as we head toward November.

Analysis

CA120: Pour one out for the pollsters

Image by Associated Press

ANALYSIS – The last few weeks have been turbulent to say the least. With the dust starting to settle a bit, Political Data Inc.’s Paul Mitchell has a look inside the numbers to tell us what all this chaos could mean for the upcoming presidential election.

Analysis

Is Biden’s slump dooming Democratic chances in 2024?

US presidential election illustration 2024, image by Rafmaster

ANALYSIS – During this week’s back and forth about the future of the Biden nomination, California Congressman Mark Takano cited low Biden polling in his Inland Empire district as a reason for Democrats to find an alternative presidential nominee for November. While using the Takano poll as a benchmark could be causing California members of congress, and Democratic nominees, some considerable headaches, this poll may not be a perfect benchmark. 

Analysis

The Micheli Minute, April 15, 2024

Heiress Paris Hilton. From her Instagram

Lobbyist and McGeorge law professor Chris Micheli offers a quick look at what’s coming up this week under the Capitol Dome.

Analysis

CA120: Laphonza Butler – Will she or won’t she?

Sen. Laphonza Butler (D-Calif.) is seen at the U.S. Capitol Oct. 4, 2023. (Francis Chung/POLITICO via AP Images)

Now that newly appointed Senator Laphonza Butler has been sworn in, the question on the lips of all political insiders is “will she, or won’t she?” But the question isn’t really that simple.

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