Analysis
In spite of some gains, if the expectation from the Democratic Convention was that it was going to swing any Trump voters toward the Harris campaign, or give her a dramatically widening lead in the race, this has not been met, at least according to the California data.
Analysis
As Vice President Kamala Harris takes the stage on Thursday as the official presidential nominee of the Democratic Party, she will face a short 74-day campaign, with California voters getting their ballots in just over 6 weeks.
The Capitol Weekly poll has continued to survey California voters as the campaigns have navigated the twists and
Analysis
The events of the past week have seemingly turned the Presidential race on its head in a frenetic month of nerve-wracking surprises. While the results of national and statewide polling are relatively small considering the major shifts in the campaign, we can use our large sample Capitol Weekly poll, with over 5,000 completed surveys, to look at underlying trends that speak to the factors that will be in play as we head toward November.
Analysis
ANALYSIS – The last few weeks have been turbulent to say the least. With the dust starting to settle a bit, Political Data Inc.’s Paul Mitchell has a look inside the numbers to tell us what all this chaos could mean for the upcoming presidential election.
Analysis
ANALYSIS – During this week’s back and forth about the future of the Biden nomination, California Congressman Mark Takano cited low Biden polling in his Inland Empire district as a reason for Democrats to find an alternative presidential nominee for November. While using the Takano poll as a benchmark could be causing California members of congress, and Democratic nominees, some considerable headaches, this poll may not be a perfect benchmark.
Analysis
Lobbyist and McGeorge law professor Chris Micheli offers a quick look at what’s coming up this week under the Capitol Dome.
Analysis
Introducing The Micheli Minute! Lobbyist and author Chris Micheli offers a quick look at what’s coming up this week in Sacramento.
Analysis
There’s only two weeks before the completion of the 2024 March Primary and early numbers are suggesting an historically low turnout. Will this have an impact on a big race like the US Senate contest? Maybe.
Analysis
ANALYSIS – Asians and Latinos in California are the two fastest growing Ethnic populations on the voter file. But they appear, politically, to be headed in slightly different directions.
Analysis
Now that newly appointed Senator Laphonza Butler has been sworn in, the question on the lips of all political insiders is “will she, or won’t she?” But the question isn’t really that simple.