Paul Mitchell: Voting Patterns

CAPITOL WEEKLY PODCAST: We’re back with a regular episode of the Capitol Weekly Podcast. California political data guru Paul Mitchell joined us to talk about surprising voting patterns and registration numbers following California’s aggressive voter registration push under the past two Secretaries of State. Who’s voting, who isn’t, and why. And, how is the 2024 Senate race shaping up? (Find Paul’s related article here.)

Plus – Who had the Worst Week in California Politics?

1:33 Voting patterns

5:33 Increase in registration numbers: a conundrum

6:33 In LA, in the 2013 mayoral race, Latinos were 23% of the electorate; In the 2022 LA Mayor’s race, Latinos were 23% of the electorate

8:03 Effect of mail in voting and other reforms

10:31 Understanding the Voter File

13:04 What are the takeaways from the numbers

14:51 Factors at play in the 2024 Midterms

21:25 “A sprig of parsley with a ‘D’ on it would beat a Republican in a California Senate race”

22:52 “If the Republicans have a Hope, his name is Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson”

24:44 Polling on the Senate race

28:12 Do endorsements matter?

32:41 #WWCA