Election Day Episode with Paul Mitchell

CAPITOL WEEKLY PODCAST: We have reached the end of the road – Election Day. After a years-long presidential campaign filled with twists, turns and surprises, we are at the deciding point: will the next president be former president Donald Trump, or Vice President Kamala Harris? And, which party will control congress? Does the path to control of the House run through Orange County? What does all of this mean for California’s 2026 gubernatorial race? Political data guru Paul Mitchell joins us to read the tea leaves and tell us what to expect on Election Night.

Show Notes:

1:26 What do we know?

2:36 The polling

6:15 A new name

6:49 Any surprises in the data from the past few days?

8:04 That Selzer Poll

11:23 Herding

13:42 Turnout

15:54 The Latino Vote

18:53 Congress

21:47 The 2026 governor’s race

25:34 Post-Mortem

28:38 Will we know who won the presidential contest on Tuesday night?