Posts Tagged: Larry Elder

News

Recall poll: Motivated Democrats flex political muscle

Gov. Gavin Newsom and U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts at a Sept. 5 anti-recall rally at Culver City High School. (Photo: Max Elram, via Shutterstock)

Institute of Governmental Studies: The tide of likely voter preferences in this year’s gubernatorial recall election has turned. The latest Berkeley IGS Poll, completed earlier this week among a sample of nearly 10,000 registered voters across California, finds just 38.5% of those most likely to participate in the recall election now intending to vote Yes to recall Governor Gavin Newsom, while 60.1% say they will be voting No to support his retention. 

Analysis

Recall: Democrats outperforming their voter registration

An illustration of California's Sept. 14 recall election. (Felipe Sanchez, via Shutterstock)

ANALYSIS: For weeks, liberals gnashed their teeth over poll results showing Republicans almost universally highly “motivated” to vote in the recall. But then the first reports of ballots showed Democrats outperforming their levels of voter registration – currently they are 55% of returned ballots while comprising 48% of registered voters

News

Recall election a stew of politics, absurdity and uncertainty

A sign in Yorba Linda advocating Gov. Gavin Newsom's recall. (Photo: Matt Gush.)

Deeply divided California voters will go to the polls on Sept. 14 — earlier, if they vote by mail — to decide whether Gov. Gavin Newsom should be recalled and who should replace him. The polls are tight. A July 24-27 poll from the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies has 47 percent of those most likely to vote wanting to boot Newsom out of office, while 50 percent want to retain him. So what helps Newsom and what doesn’t?

Podcast

Capitol Weekly Podcast: Polls predict tight race for Newsom

Photo by Kelly M. Grow / California Department of Water Resources. March 2019

The latest Berkeley IGS Poll finds that among likely voters, 47% favor recalling Gov. Gavin Newsom and only 50% favor his retention. Those numbers are a stark warning for a governor serving amid the most turbulent era in memory, where extreme circumstances within – and beyond – his control could impact the attitude of the electorate at any moment.

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