A new poll commissioned by Sen. Gil Cedillo shows him
26-point lead over incumbent Assemblyman John Perez, D-Los Angeles, in a
potential Democratic primary match-up.
Forty-three perecent of those who responded said they would
favor Cedillo, compared to 17 percent for Perez. Another 40 percent of those surveyed were undecided.
Cedillo’s potential challenge of Perez is being used by
allies of Assemblyman Kevin De Leon to try to slow
down Perez’s momentum in the
battle for Assembly speaker. De Leon and Perez both
seeking the speaker’s job.
De Leon’s backers have cautioned Assembly Democrats from electing
a speaker who
could potentially lose a primary, or have to spend
heavily to protect his own
Perez’s political consultant Douglas Herman dismissed the
survey results, saying surveys at this stage of a campaign
measure nothing but name identification. “Polling is like any statistic," said Herman. "You can make polling numbers say
what you want them to say.”
Herman noted polls that showed Cedillo running ahead
Chu in a recent race for Congress – a race that Chu won.
“This is not even a credible poll,” Herman said. “This is a
poll floated by the same guy who all the polls showed
would win his
congressional race. And the conduct of his campaign,
and the money he spent
clearly shows he’s lost credibility in this district.”
Cedillo notes the Congressional district extended into
San Gabriel Valley – east of Cedillo’s downtown and East Los Angeles political
base. The 46th Assembly District is almost entirely within Cedillo’s
Senate district. Cedillo himself represented the district
before being elected to the Senate.
The private tracking poll, conducted by the firm Fairbank,
Maslin, Maullin Metz & Associates, is dated December 2. The document
obtained by Capitol Weekly did not say how many people
were surveyed for the
The survey was of registered votes – only 49 percent of whom
said they vote in every election. Herman said that
survey gives skewed results
and does not accurately reflect potential June primary
Cedillo says he is committed to running for the Assembly,
whether or not Perez is speaker. Perez had been exploring
for state Senate,
but jumped into the speaker’s race at the urging of several members – including
Speaker Karen Bass – this week. Bass said earlier this week that Perez
secured the backing from a majority of Assembly Democrats,
but he is still shy
of the 41 votes needed to make him speaker.
Cedillo and Perez have tangled in the past. Perez endorsed,
and held a fundraiser for Chu in his race against Cedillo
earlier this year.